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SAAR Analytics
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Publications
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Volatility of Stock Returns: Emerging and Mature Markets
Managerial Finance Journal
See publication“Volatility of Stock Returns: Emerging and Mature Markets”. Analyzing and Comparing Various Characteristics of Emerging Stock Exchanges With Those of Matured Stock Exchanges Through EGARCH (Exponential Generalized Autoregressive Conditionally Heteroscedastic) Model And VAR (Vector Auto Regression) Analysis.
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Payam Bagheri
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Here's an example of something that I think is at the core of the difficulty of creating reliable complex agentic workflows: I was having a chat with Perplexity (a tool that generate answers using top models like GPT-5.2, Claude 4.6, and Gemini 3.1 Pro) and it made a very basic mistake in its response. It told me that if a>b, I should choose option 1, while in reality the exact opposite was true and it acknowledged its mistake when I pointed it out. My point is that these are the kind of basic mistakes that can happen at the core of any agentic process and of course guardrails need to be in place to catch and correct them, otherwise, they will cascade and derail the whole process. Of course, humans make similar mistakes too and processes are needed to be in place to catch them and prevent them from cascading down the workflow. However, creating fully autonomous agentic systems while the core model is capable of making such basic mistakes is a real challenge and every decision and architecture needs to be made with these types of challenges in mind. I know this is not news to a lot of people who read this post, but I thought I'd just share my personal experience :)
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