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Polymarket

Polymarket

Software Development

New York, NY 40,496 followers

Trade on your Beliefs.

About us

The world’s leading prediction market platform, where users trade on the outcomes of real-world events. By putting real money behind opinions, Polymarket cuts through noise, bias, and speculation to surface a single powerful signal: what people actually believe will happen. From elections and geopolitics to business, culture, and breaking news, Polymarket transforms headlines into live markets with constantly updating probabilities. The result is a real-time, crowd-driven forecast of the future — more dynamic and often more accurate than traditional polling or expert analysis. Polymarket provides clarity. Not through commentary, but through markets.

Website
http://www.polymarket.com
Industry
Software Development
Company size
51-200 employees
Headquarters
New York, NY
Type
Privately Held
Founded
2020

Locations

Employees at Polymarket

Updates

  • Polymarket reposted this

    🚨 BREAKING: OpenAI just acquired tech podcast 'TBPN' for a price tag many are rumoring to be above $100,000,000. Here's why: The show averages 70K viewers per episode and has hosted Zuckerberg, Nadella and Altman. It launched in October 2024, started daily three hour livestreams in March 2025, was profitable on about $5M in ad revenue last year and was on track for over $30M in 2026. The move comes as OpenAI fights to keep pace with Anthropic in enterprise and struggles to control its public narrative ahead of an IPO. The acquisition comes at a moment when OpenAI is under real competitive pressure. Anthropic has been steadily pulling ahead in enterprise and developer adoption, with Claude Code becoming a tool engineers say they can't work without. Currently on Polymarket, OpenAI is showing 2% odds of having the best AI model end of April. Anthropic just launched computer use capabilities that let Claude operate a user's desktop autonomously, leaked details revealed a next generation Mythos model that reportedly far surpasses anything currently on the market, and the company won a major legal battle against the Trump administration that reinforced its brand as the principled AI lab. Meanwhile OpenAI has been consolidating. It killed Sora, merged ChatGPT, Codex and its browser into a single superapp, and its own applications chief Fidji Simo told employees to stop chasing "side quests." The company's CFO openly admitted they're facing compute constraints that are forcing hard tradeoffs. TBPN will report to OpenAI's chief global affairs officer Chris Lehane and will help with communications and marketing while claiming full editorial independence. The ad business is being wound down. The strategic logic is transparent. OpenAI is heading into an IPO, losing the narrative to Anthropic on product and principle, and now owns a media platform that reaches the exact tech and business audience it needs to win back. Whether TBPN can maintain credibility under that ownership is the question everyone in the industry will be watching. #openai #tbpn #anthropic

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  • 🚨BREAKING: Anthropic charges extra for OpenClaw in Claude Code Anthropic announced that starting April 4, Claude Code subscribers will no longer be able to use their subscription limits for third-party tools, including OpenClaw. Usage of these tools will now be billed separately through a pay-as-you-go option. The policy currently begins with OpenClaw but will extend to all third-party harnesses over time. Anthropic’s Claude Code head, Boris Cherny, said subscriptions were not designed for third-party tool usage and the change is intended to manage growth sustainably. Subscribers are still eligible for full refunds if needed. The announcement comes shortly after OpenClaw’s creator, Peter Steinberger, joined Anthropic competitor OpenAI, with OpenClaw continuing as an open-source project supported by OpenAI. There’s a 90% chance Anthropic reaches a $500B+ valuation in 2026.

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  • 🚨BREAKING: Elon Musk is requiring banks to buy Grok subscriptions in order to participate in the SpaceX IPO. SpaceX is reportedly aiming for a $2 trillion valuation, making it one of the largest IPOs in history. Banks seeking access are required to adopt xAI’s Grok, with some committing tens of millions per year. Leading financial institutions including Morgan Stanley, Goldman Sachs, JPMorgan Chase, Bank of America, and Citigroup are serving as the deal’s bookrunners. Several banks have already started integrating Grok into their operations. This approach links IPO participation directly to AI adoption, using a historic market event to drive enterprise use of Musk’s technology. There is still only a 2% chance xAI has the best AI model by the end of June.

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  • In celebration of America's 250th anniversary, we're launching Freedom Watch 🦅 Right now, two bald eagles named Harry & Harriet are taking turns keeping three eggs warm — 200 feet up in a white pine on the shores of Lake Michigan. In 1963, there were 417 bald eagle nesting pairs left in the United States. DDT had made their eggshells too thin to survive. The species was in freefall. Americans decided the bald eagle should survive. Decades of quiet, unglamorous work. Today there are over 300,000. The bald eagle is of the greatest comebacks in American history. And it's still going. Watch the nest live. Trade on when the first eaglet hatches. 100% of fees goes directly to bald eagle conservation. Here: https://lnkd.in/eDMc5_he

  • 🚨 BREAKING: OpenAI just acquired tech podcast 'TBPN' for a price tag many are rumoring to be above $100,000,000. Here's why: The show averages 70K viewers per episode and has hosted Zuckerberg, Nadella and Altman. It launched in October 2024, started daily three hour livestreams in March 2025, was profitable on about $5M in ad revenue last year and was on track for over $30M in 2026. The move comes as OpenAI fights to keep pace with Anthropic in enterprise and struggles to control its public narrative ahead of an IPO. The acquisition comes at a moment when OpenAI is under real competitive pressure. Anthropic has been steadily pulling ahead in enterprise and developer adoption, with Claude Code becoming a tool engineers say they can't work without. Currently on Polymarket, OpenAI is showing 2% odds of having the best AI model end of April. Anthropic just launched computer use capabilities that let Claude operate a user's desktop autonomously, leaked details revealed a next generation Mythos model that reportedly far surpasses anything currently on the market, and the company won a major legal battle against the Trump administration that reinforced its brand as the principled AI lab. Meanwhile OpenAI has been consolidating. It killed Sora, merged ChatGPT, Codex and its browser into a single superapp, and its own applications chief Fidji Simo told employees to stop chasing "side quests." The company's CFO openly admitted they're facing compute constraints that are forcing hard tradeoffs. TBPN will report to OpenAI's chief global affairs officer Chris Lehane and will help with communications and marketing while claiming full editorial independence. The ad business is being wound down. The strategic logic is transparent. OpenAI is heading into an IPO, losing the narrative to Anthropic on product and principle, and now owns a media platform that reaches the exact tech and business audience it needs to win back. Whether TBPN can maintain credibility under that ownership is the question everyone in the industry will be watching. #openai #tbpn #anthropic

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  • 🚨 BREAKING: SpaceX targets record-breaking $2+ trillion IPO Elon Musk’s SpaceX is reportedly aiming for a valuation above $2 trillion in what could become the largest IPO in history. The company has filed confidentially with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission and is preparing for a public debut later this year. Advisers are pitching a possible $75 billion raise, far surpassing Saudi Aramco’s $29.4 billion record, positioning SpaceX for the biggest public equity event ever. SpaceX’s valuation reflects more than rocket launches: - Starlink’s global broadband network continues massive subscriber growth - The company has merged with Musk’s AI firm xAI, expanding into artificial intelligence and integrated tech - SpaceX is in talks with major anchor investors including Saudi Arabia’s Public Investment Fund about a potential $5 billion commitment to back the offering The IPO strategy allows SpaceX to file confidentially, fine-tune its valuation, and keep revenue and Starship economics under wraps until the public prospectus. If executed as planned, this IPO will redefine what a tech and space powerhouse can command from public markets. There is a 48% chance that “X” will be SpaceX’s public ticker.

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  • 🚨 BREAKING: Attorney General Pam Bondi has been fired Here's the full details: President Trump fired Attorney General Pam Bondi on Thursday, making her the second Cabinet member removed in less than a month after Homeland Security Secretary Kristi Noem. Deputy Attorney General Todd Blanche, Trump's former personal lawyer, is now acting AG. EPA administrator Lee Zeldin is the leading candidate for a permanent replacement. Trump had grown increasingly frustrated with Bondi on two fronts. First, her handling of the Epstein files became a political liability. Bondi publicly said a client list was sitting on her desk for review early in her tenure, but the DOJ later declared the case closed and resisted further disclosures until Congress forced the release of roughly 3 million pages of records. Second, the DOJ failed to deliver on Trump's desired prosecutions of political enemies. Cases against former FBI Director James Comey and New York AG Letitia James were both dismissed after a judge ruled the prosecutor who obtained the indictments had been improperly appointed. Probes into Adam Schiff, Eric Swalwell and the Federal Reserve also stalled. Trump and Bondi reportedly had a heated confrontation at the White House last week, and she was seen at his side at the Supreme Court and his Iran war address just hours before being fired. The question now is whether a new AG pushes even harder on Trump's priorities, or whether the courts continue to block the administration's most aggressive legal moves. Either way, the DOJ looks very different than it did a year ago.

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  • Polymarket 🤝 Pyth Network Polymarket has integrated Pyth Pro as its data source for a new suite of traditional asset contracts You can now get exposure to U.S. equities, major equity indices, & commodities (gold, silver, natural gas, etc) via our new traditional asset markets which are powered by Pyth Here's how it works: > Pyth aggregates first party price data from over 125 trading firms, exchanges and market makers globally, creating a pricing layer built on actual trading activity rather than repackaged exchange feeds. > Pyth also launched Pyth Terminal alongside the integration, a live data interface where traders and developers can verify price feeds in real time with publisher level transparency and benchmark comparisons for equities and FX.

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  • Polymarket reposted this

    🚨 BREAKING: SpaceX has filed confidentially for IPO, in what will likely be the largest IPO in history. Here's the full details: The company is targeting a raise of up to $75B at a valuation between $1.5T and $1.75T. Investment banks leading the deal are holding a syndicate kick off meeting on April 6, with investor briefings expected to begin later in the month. A June listing remains the target. Currently on Polymarket there's a 56% chance that SpaceX will IPO by June 30th, 2026. The core of the valuation is Starlink. The satellite internet business had 9.2M active subscribers by the end of 2025, doubling its user base in 15 months. It generated over $10B in revenue last year, with analysts projecting between $16B and $24B in 2026. SpaceX also completed the acquisition of Musk's AI startup xAI, bringing the combined private market valuation to roughly $1.25T before the IPO markup. At $1.75T, SpaceX would be more valuable at listing than every public company on earth except Nvidia, Apple, Alphabet, Microsoft and Amazon. This is the first of what could be three mega IPOs this year, with OpenAI and Anthropic expected to follow. Retail investors could receive more than 20% of the total share allocation, and SpaceX is already set to be included in major ETFs and stock indices post listing. The IPO window is tight, with the Iran conflict adding volatility and bankers warning that market conditions may not hold indefinitely. If SpaceX gets this done in June, it sets the tone for the entire US IPO market through the rest of 2026. #spacex #ipo #vc #venturecapital #elonmusk

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Funding

Polymarket 6 total rounds

Last Round

Corporate round

US$ 2.0B

See more info on crunchbase